WEEK 18
TUESDAY 4/29/14
Hello Everyone,
If your seriously trying to bet baseball all season, then I applaud you for one. Its an absolute grind and its also just so darn unpredictable at times. There is one thing you can control though and that’s how much of a money line you lay. The experts and I agree with this opinion that if you bet over -130 in baseball, long term you will not be profitable. This is why you see some experts or touts taking big dogs sometimes. Once in a while those +250 dogs cash and they help to even out the variance of betting on -130/-120 favorites. You will see me a lot this baseball season laying whats called the “run line” or -1.5. Getting to lay plus money with a team I already value big and only having to win by 2 runs well that just makes to much sense. Run lines can be a bitch to cash sometimes, but I think you have better odds in of cashing a run line in baseball then say cashing an empty netter to win an OVER bet in Hockey. Just my two cents, your free to do as you please. You will never see me lay over -130 on any baseball play at this blog. Last night was crappy and we knew that going in that if Yu Darvish played bad we were toast. What was shocking is the Rangers offense completely no showing, Sunny Gray definitely proved me wrong. We did get a big time win with the Heat as they easily put away the Bobcats just like we predicted. By the way the Lebron James OVER total points cashed, if your were reading closely last night. I did add a late play on the Avalanche in hockey and Head Coach Patrick Roy seemed to make some questionable coaching moves, so we failed to cash.
WEEK 18: LEX KA BLOG +.05 UNITS
MONDAY 4/28/14 RESULTS: (1-2-0) (-1.3 UNITS)
4/28/14 WIN ( +2 UNITS ) HEAT -7 (-120)
4/28/14 LOSS (-2.2 UNITS ) RANGERS -1.5 (+155)
4/28/14 LOSS ( -1.1 UNIT ) AVALANCHE MONEYLINE (+125) [[[ PLAY WAS GIVEN OUT ON TWITTER ]]]
Now lets get to your free plays tonight everyone.
MLB:
I dunno how you do not take the Nationals tonight versus the Astros. I have been waiting for this series to start since last week. I know the doubters will say “but Bryce Harper is out till July…” Welp. Sorry I still get everyone else and their sum of parts is going to get going very early tonight. This could be a home run derby from the start. Astros pitcher Jarred Cosart has been getting beat up by good offensive clubs this month. The numbers don’t lie, in his last 4 games he has given up 4 home runs and 17 earned runs. This is all expected from basically a triple A pitcher being forced to play too early. We on the other hand get an experienced pitcher in Gio Gonzalez who is 3-1 this year and carries a 2-0 lifetime record versus the Astros. The Nationals as a team are 7-1 versus the Astros in last 3 seasons.
MLB #977 WASHINGTON NATIONALS -1.5 “RUN LINE” (+107) 2 UNITS
Want a really fun parley that actually makes sense??? JOSE JOSE JOSE OLE ! YES ! Were taking Jose Fernandez tonight at home and his amazing record when playing at Marlins park. Lex who do we pair Jose with??? Glad you asked ! Justin Verlander of course who is playing out of his mind lately ! This is the one time a parley actually makes sense!
MLB PARLEY: #954 MIAMI MARLINS MONEYLINE (-130) AND #969 DETROIT TIGERS MONEYLINE (-145)
TO CREATE A +200 BET ! 2 UNITS
Really thought hard about NY Rangers moneyline and OKC Thunder-6. These are still very real possibilities tomorrow. Lost faith in the Texas Rangers, so betting my boy Martin Perez looks like a serious gamble now. Your welcome to look these leans over. I like the two plays for right now. Good Luck.
Remember together we will grow your bankroll every day
@LexKaWins
LexKaWins 